4 minute read

NFL Wild Card Best Bets

January 11, 2023

It’s the NFL Wild Card Playoff round and teams are fighting to stay alive. Read below as we breakdown 4 of our Best Bets for this week.

Miami Dolphins Vs Buffalo Bills

The Miami Dolphins have hit the over 8 times this year. They have scored 3 touchdowns or more in 8 games and have scored over 29 points 6 times. The last time the Dolphins faced the Bills, the total score was 61 and hit the over by 16 points. The Dolphins average 23.7 points per game which is almost exactly half of the total set for this game. The Dolphins allow a total of 23.5 points to opposing offenses which is also almost exactly half of the total set for this game. The Dolphins rank 5th in passing yard per game. They put up a bunch of points and allow just as many on defense. The Dolphins will be without Tua for this playoff game but expect them to still put up a bunch of points.

The Buffalo Bills have hit the over 6 times this year including the last 3 games in a row. They have scored 3 touchdowns or more in 10 games and have scored over 23 points 13 times. The Bills average 28.4 points per game which ranks 2nd in the league. They also rank 7th in the league in passing and rushing yards per game. This offense has been hard to stop all year. The Bills are rolling and will be hard to stop in this playoff game as well.

The New York Giants have hit the over 7 times this year. They have scored 3 touchdowns or more in 7 games and have scored over 24 points 4 times. The Giants average 148.2 rushing yards per game which ranks 2nd in the league. On the other hand, the Vikings have the 31st ranked defense in yards allowed and 27th in points allowed. The Giants should be able to run and score on this Vikings defense.

The Vikings have hit the over 11 times this year including 6 of the last 7 games. They have scored 3 touchdowns or more in 11 games and have scored 24 points or more 11 times. The Vikings average 24.9 points per game which ranks 8th in the league. They also allow 25.1 points per game to opposing offenses. The Vikings can score a bunch of points while allowing a bunch as well. Look for them to put up a big score while allowing the Giants to score as well.

The Baltimore Ravens have hit the over 4 times this year. They have scored 2 touchdowns or more in 5 games and have scored over 21 points 7 times. The Ravens average 20.6 points per game which is almost exactly half of the total set for this game. They average 160 rushing yards per game which ranks 3rd in the league. The Ravens have struggled a bit without Lamar Jackson under center but continued to win enough games to make the playoffs. They should score enough to keep this game tight even if the Bengals win.

The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the over 6 times this year including 2 of their last 3 games. They have scored 3 touchdowns or more in 11 of 16 games and over 20 points 13 times. The Bengals average 26.1 points per game. 42 is the 3rd lowest total set for a Bengals game this year. The Bengals average 282.5 passing yards per game which ranks 3rd in the league. Their defense allows 20.1 points per game which is almost half of the total set for this game. Look for Burrow and the offense to score a bunch of points in this game while allowing a decent amount on defense as well.

The Dallas Cowboys have hit the over 9 times this year including 5 of the last 7 games. They have scored 3 touchdowns or more in 10 of 17 games and over 23 points 12 times. The Cowboys average 27.5 points per game which ranks 4th in the league. The Cowboys defense allows 20.1 points per game which ranks 5th in the league but almost covers half of the total set for this game. The Cowboys have been able to score at-will in just about every game this year and that should be no different against a struggling Tampa Bay squad.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have hit the over 6 times this year including 4 of the last 5 games. They have scored 3 touchdowns or more in 4 games and over 23 points 3 times. There isn’t a lot to say about Tampa’s offense and their ability to score points but Tom Brady always shows up in the biggest moments so this playoff game should be no different.

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